2012年3月1日星期四

Surplus is exaggerated

See the following the news better days. Data fog of manufacturing in China under the trade surplus is seriously exaggerates xinhuanet Beijing on December 30 report (reporter yellow Xin WangPan GuYe), China will forward "1025", the start of a new round of industry transformation to upgrade. It makes people to the shrouded in fog data of the "made in China" to have the new look forward to. From "barbie" doll to "apple" mobile phone, about China's trade surplus "truth" return to the public discussion of vision. Beijing scholars pointed out that the borders on the basis of the calculation of the flow direction of international trade surplus or deficit standards have been out of date, China's trade surplus was serious." A barbie doll from China's JinKouJia $2, among them,MLB hats China is just 35 cents in the labor. But statistics based on the origin, $2 revenue of Chinese of the surplus to the United States. According to the value-added proportion computation, China's surplus is exaggerated nearly six times. Similarly, a mobile phone in China of the assembly apple exports to the United States, according to the rate of value-added if, China's surplus is exaggerated 26 times. I am really very for "Beijing scholars" blush with shame. He said apple's mobile phone. China imported 100 dollars of spare parts, assembly and packing, and then sell $103 to the americans. I think, the above period of news mean, China's surplus is only 3 dollars, not $103, so China's surplus is exaggerated. But, I still in use, the world except Beijing scholars in the outside with "border trade flow on the basis of the calculation of the surplus or deficit standard", that China's surplus is 3 dollars, not $103, what is exaggerated too? Assume that China this $100 of spare parts imported from Malaysia's right, then $103 exports to the us, in China's customs data or international account, China will have 100 dollars of imports, and then have $103 in exports, the trade surplus is $3. China a year 200 billion-300 billion dollar trade surplus, such a pen a BiSuan out, where to exaggerate the? That's right, China and America's trade surplus with the United States will be $103, but China to Malaysia's trade deficit would be $100, so China to the United States did not seem so big bilateral surplus, but China's bilateral deficit to Malaysia and not look so big. I think, don't need a "Beijing scholars" can know, only see the bilateral deficit with the majority of the time in surplus is not too much significance. Poland to Ukraine goods, usually after Russia transit, this thing is if after the customs, will cause the Poland to Russia as a surplus, Russia to Ukraine have surplus, so finally Poland to Ukraine surplus, will reflect on Russia for the surplus. But this does not matter. This will not affect the total surplus Poland, or Russia's total surplus, or is the total surplus. This is most know a little bit a little bit of economics,NBA hats the main only see a national total trade surplus or deficit reasons. On the other hand, China's surplus in many years have an exaggerated is suspected, but this and barbie or cell phones, it doesn't matter, and China's low added value, it doesn't matter, but in the form of hot money inflows into China trade-high export prices for deliberately and submitted to low the price of imports, so hot money through trade items and dodge capital controls into China.

see more:China's investment opportunities
By "fed" of Chinese science and technology

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