2012年3月7日星期三

The western investment half and strategies

A sichuan daily reporter ask zhao (zhejiang university) q: introducing the foreign capital in sichuan in 2011 exceeded $10 billion for the grand view, in western China first, what do you think? A: this be worthy of attention. This represents the foreign investment in China, the distribution of a new trend. What situation? Two of the most obvious: one is, in China's coastal and inland, and between the foreign capital more and more favour the mainland. The data shows, the foreign investment in the mainland in recent years of growth than coastal. Another is that, in the mainland investment and industrial location choice, more and more favor those infrastructure good abundant resources, labor, and has considerable industry gathering area. Sichuan is both western province, and a very high degree of industrial concentration, YouYiCheng (are) chongqing industrial cluster with for represent, natural for foreign investment value! Of course still must see, the foreign investment significantly increase the deep reason of a, is China's manufacturing space reconstruction, some manufacturing enterprise in the coastal regions have or will lose advantage, start to the central and western regions. Sichuan most benefit from this following the introduction of foreign capital, is also to the half. Q: your next step in the western areas in introducing foreign capital prospects have any expectations? The introduction of foreign capital of sichuan prospects how to see? A: foreign direct investment is part of the global flow, cast to the western region of China foreign capital is part of the whole of introducing the foreign capital; Sichuan can introduce of foreign investment, the western region of China is the part of the introduction of foreign capital. So in the analysis and judgment of the western province of sichuan such introduction of foreign capital prospects, have to have three big space vision: the first is the range of China's viewpoint. Is from the global foreign direct investment into the supply and demand situation, China can use judgment of the potential foreign supply.discount sunglasses Financial crisis after has developed countries with deficits and the economic downturn and the status of the situation and decided to the global scope FDI (foreign direct investment) of the imbalance of supply and demand, in general, is demand exceeds supply. Specifically, the need to investment countries and regions abrupt increase, even foreign policy has always been to take neuter the United States, is thinking about efforts to encourage us backflow. Will supply side, the global FDI formation in slow pace. In addition to China, a few emerging market economies foreign investment outside the rapid increase, most countries, especially in the developed countries of FDI are formed in slow. This means that the next year or two the external environment of introducing the foreign capital in China than "former crisis period" worse. But this does not mean we reduce the chance to. I thought, although global FDI demand exceeds supply, demand side close, but China is still relatively advantageous position for the international direct investment still has a strong attraction, and for large multinational companies in the high-end manufacturing and service industry, the attraction of the investment in strengthening. Here a basic reason for not only lies in the Chinese economy still keeps the leading global growth, but also in China in general has entered the medium income economies on the threshold, level and quality labor demand has been onto a new stage. Steady economic growth and market potential is most important to investors investment environment. Is this viewpoint judgment, even if in the next few years the global slowdown in foreign capital formation, but the favour of China foreign won't have weakened obviously, the introduction of foreign capital in China in May still have a chance. The second is China's coastal and inland point of space. Is the national investment and industry from space reconstruction viewpoint to see foreign capital. China and most emerging market economies, compared with incomparable huge hinterland, coastal and inland dividing line between the space with the huge economic gap, means that when some industry in coastal areas lost based on factor endowments of comparative advantage after, can be moved to the mainland. Coastal past decades manufacturing fast development, training for the mainland the hundreds of millions of trained workers, these workers backflow, constitute the introduction of foreign capital and even the new coastal domestic advantage. In fact just do something survey found that in recent years, many of the introduction of the mainland of the foreign capital enterprise, is to foreign investment have coastal expansionary. The third in the western region the different provinces domain space vision. Is the western region internal perspective, infrastructure and industrial cluster has not even the respectively, but other area. In fact in all provinces between, even in the same province area between the different small internal of great differences. Space has generated a clear dividing line between the core-around. Among them into-chongqing economic belt is expected to become a western largest economic kernel, and the ends of the chengdu and chongqing has is a mature kernel. The regional economy for investment and industry has a kernel extraordinary appeal. A combination of the three space perspective, can think that, even in the world economic downturn and China's economic "soft landing" deceleration of the environment, sichuan will still be foreign and coastal capital's favored a piece of investment highlands, can use the potential investment will grow.Q: can you to the west sichuan especially in introducing foreign capital policy advice? A: three points view, not replace personal Suggestions: first, the introduction of foreign capital and acceptance coastal industrial transfer overall consideration should be, should be included in the clear pattern of regional development strategic choice choice under the strategic orientation to clear. Following the development of China to see, the present and the future must be clear about the strategic positioning of long-term, first is prosperous common people and huimin. I had told elsewhere, the past decades coastal region economic development to the distribution of wealth tendency to judge has three typical small regional models: one is the "rich than the prosperous common people", most of the achievements of development to foreign away, people just take some low wages, still have to affix cheap land and environment; Another can be called "rich than the prosperous common people", the development of a major increase government income, but the people did not synchronous rich, but shall inherit environment and demolition of harm; The third is prosperous common people first, also called "hidden abound people". Where's the former two believe that people guessed, zhejiang create model is, of course, now also have a problem. Sichuan such populous province and in the history of the "land of" reputation, should be paid attention to in the process of the development of more prosperous people oriented. The introduction of foreign capital especially to guide people rather than unilateral "the rich". In particular, the introduction of foreign capital and receiving coastal industrial transfer, can't walk in coastal areas of low level started "three cheap"--to cheap labor, cheap land and cheap cost of the environment, to construct the local people, foreign enterprise and government win-win system environment. Which in a local labor utilization, should emphasize the "price" labor rather than simple cheap. Environment, should with "low carbon" for selling point,new era hats environment friendly for current. Secondly, although the number of introducing the foreign capital should be paid attention to scale, and not a certain quantity scale XingBuCheng climate, but more should attach importance to the industry selection and class. Industry choice, cannot fastening on high technology and new technology, and should emphasize the foreign capital enterprise is "external effects". The most important "external effects" to see if it might contribute to local enterprise common development, form cluster effect, rather than "the big tree is not long grass" effect. Of the above mentioned of zhejiang province "hidden abound people" mode, to a great extent, is benefited from the industry agglomeration and spillover effects of enterprise clusters. Investment grade, should stress environment friendly and the people's livelihood and related projects. As the world population, the future development of the largest space always improve public in food and clothing lives row conditions, not other, sheet is let 1.3 billion people eat too safe, is pregnant with the huge investment opportunities and introduction of foreign capital space! Sichuan this aspect can play in the space more big. The third was, the introduction of foreign investments, sichuan at least to play "three CARDS" : the first one is the "labor force resources" brand. As the first labor output first province, this card known; The second is a potential market province ". As the western most populous province and in the history of the "land", sichuan people have both the traditional production and consumption, which can bear hardships and stand hard work, and consumption--feel at ease. It is also selling points. Many foreign just shouted at China's huge potential market; The third card service life and the low price is low cost "ease city" of the brand. Chengdu especially famous. These are attractive to investors. International trade war have a "local Market Effect" (Home Market Effect) said, meaning that a product in a local Market, sell well, take to export will have long competitiveness. The reason is to mass production unit cost is very low. The west sichuan especially, also can play this card, to start a domestic demand to start first but pour push foreign trade export!

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